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The likelihood of our meeting on their birthday was about 1/365. I write and email about coincidences but rarely meet with the primary purpose of talking about them. The business problem had been going on for four months. Earlier in the week I threatened my adversary for a third time.

Lately, I have avoided discussing the idea unless someone else does. After avoiding any negotiation, he finally agreed to discuss a settlement figure with me.

Mathematicians quibble over the precise odds, but UC Berkeley’s Michael Hutchings calculates the probability at a little less than one in 500,000 for a family with two children who aren’t twins.

But Philip Stark, a professor of statistics at UC Berkeley, isn’t comfortable with the 1 in 500,000 number.That we were together to discuss coincidences decreases the probability even more.Siblings end up sharing a lot of things, willingly or not.The Johnsens weren’t considering any of that when Kelly’s doctor wanted to induce labor to deliver Athena a few days before her June 14 due date.And, no, the children weren’t delivered by cesarean section.

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